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The Algerian crisis : not over yet / International Crisis Group. Algiers u.a. : International Crisis Group, 2000 ; Halle (Saale) : Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt, 2000
Content
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
I. INTRODUCTION
II. THE CRISIS IS NOT SOLVED
A. Violence on the Rise Again
B. Growing Signs of Dissatisfaction with the President
C. Lack of International Mobilisation
D. Possible Catalysts for the Re-ignition of Virtual Civil War
Political Stagnation
Polarity of the Debate between Secularism and Political Islam
The Illusion of Economic Reform
Social Crisis
Widespread Militarisation
The Uncertainty of the Army’s Reaction
III. WHAT DO THE ISLAMISTS WANT?
A. Why the Civil Concord Has Not Succeeded
1. Civil Concord as a Police Measure
2. Judicial Opacity of the Civil Concord Law
3. Lack of a Political Solution
B. Islamist Conditions for Peace
1. Create a Climate of Reconciliation
2. Promote a Political Solution
3. Judicial Reform as a Trust Building Measure
C. A New Islamist Party?
IV. WHY HAS THE ARMY FAILED TO CREATE PEACE?
A. A Less Homogeneous Structure
1. Historical Rivalries
2. Generational Divide
3. Regional Divisions
4. Business Cleavages
5. Competition between Different Services
B. Past Failures, Future Uncertainties
C. Losing Faith in the President
D. Signs of Change
E. Future
V. THE RENTIER ECONOMY AS PART OF THE PROBLEM
The Rentier Economy and the Military Power Structure
B. Progress of Economic Reform
1. Price Reforms
2. State Enterprises
3. Financial Sector
4. External Sector
5. Fiscal Policy
C. The Hydrocarbon Sector
D. Future Directions
1. Institutional Issues
2. Providing Services
E. External Dimension
VI. CONCLUSION