Ethiopia : a country study on the economic impacts of climate change / World Bank. Washington D.C. : The World Bank, 2008 ; Halle (Saale) : Universitäts- und Landesbibliothek Sachsen-Anhalt, 2008
Inhalt
Figure 1 Main Climatic Zones of Ethiopia 15
Figure 2 Smoothed Distribution Functions for Variation in Agricultural Value Added 36
Figure 3 Changes in Sectoral Growth Rates (percentage points), Sim 4 44
TABLES
Table 1: Product Shares in Total Agricultural Value Added and Output 2001/02 5
Table 19: Growth Rates of Real Macro Aggregates 41
ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
1. INTRODUCTION
2. OVERVIEW OF THE ETHIOPIAN ECONOMY
2.1 Basic Characteristics
2.2 The Agricultural Sector and Recent Growth Performance
2.3 Current Policies in Support of Agricultural Development, Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction
3. TOPOGRAPHICAL AND CLIMATIC BACKGROUND
4. PROJECTIONS OF LONG-RUN CLIMATE CHANGE FOR EAST AFRICA AND ETHIOPIA
4.1 Temperature and Precipitation Projections
4.2 Changes in Climate Variability and Frequency of Weather Extremes
5. CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY IN ETHIOPIA: REVIEW OF EXISTING LITERATURE
5.1 Studies Based on the Ricardian Approach
5.2 Studies Using Process Based Crop Simulation Models
5.3 Impacts of Climate Variability and Extreme Weather Events
5.4 Effects on Cropland Area and Soil Erosion
6. OTHER CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
7. SIMULATION METHODOLOGY
8. CLIMATE SHOCKS AND ADAPTATION: SIMULATION RESULTS
8.1 Scenarios
8.2 Simulation Results for Climate Shocks
8.3 Sensitivity Analysis
8.4 Adaption to Climate Change Shocks
SUMMARY
APPENDIX B: The IPCC SRES Scenarios
APPENDIX C: Technical Model Description